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Inflation in Focus: What Friday's CPI Data Means for Us!
Find out the latest crypto news on the US CPI release and its impact on markets on October 24, 2025.
Inflation in Focus: What Friday's CPI Data Means for Us!
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September is expected to be released on October 24, 2025. The economic situation is tense given the ongoing government shutdown that began on October 1, 2025. As a result of this shutdown, markets are experiencing an economic data blackout, making consumer price forecasts even more complex. Crypto.news reports, that economic analysts predict a 0.4% rise in consumer prices in September.
The anticipation of the CPI data is accompanied by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve at the next meeting. Experts point out that no significant economic data has been released for over three weeks, increasing uncertainty among investors. Still, stocks and cryptocurrencies have edged higher amid this tense situation, while gold has hit a new all-time high of over $4,400.
Forecasts and market reactions
Headline inflation forecasts suggest that the inflation rate could rise from 2.9% to 3.1%. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to remain unchanged at 3.1% month-on-month. The median forecast for the core CPI increase is 0.3%, while the headline CPI is forecast at 0.39%.
Although markets have already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut, experts advise caution. Many believe investors may ignore signs of stubborn inflation in the upcoming CPI report. In particular, onchain data shows that there is little macro-driven trading, indicating a muted market reaction. The daily money flows in the cryptocurrency market are currently around 300-400k USD.
Looking into the future
After the crypto crash in October 2025, market structures are showing promising signs of a reset phase. Historically, Bitcoin has often shown quick recoveries following the release of CPI reports, and analysts believe that this trend will continue this time too. Nevertheless, market participants currently appear to be rather indifferent to the upcoming data, which underlines the uncertainties.
Given the economic context and upcoming CPI data, it remains to be seen how markets will react. The next period could be decisive in determining the direction in which the financial landscape develops.