Ethereum reaches $ 4,500: Interest cuts could trigger crypto rally!

Ethereum reaches $ 4,500: Interest cuts could trigger crypto rally!

On Friday, October 4, 2025, the price of Ethereum (ETH) rose to the $ 4,500 mark and reached a two-week high with $ 4.580. This upward moment was triggered by the delay in the publication of the Nonfarm Payerolls (NFP) data for September that was originally set for this day. Loud Fxstreet the shift of the NFP data was a direct result of the partial closure of the US government, due to financing gaps.

The uncertainty that arises from this delay could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to reduce interest rates. These potential interest rate cuts are crucial for the crypto market because they could encourage investors to invest in risky systems. Coinbase researchers have already determined that the markets calculate an 87%probability for two interest reductions by 25 basis points each by the end of the year.

Market dynamics and liquidations

In combination with new highs in gold, increasing expectations of interest rates could reduce the competition for cash returns for risky systems. This would benefit the crypto market. In the past four days, US spot-eth ETFs have shown over $ 1 billion in net faults. At the same time, the amount of ETH, which is available on centralized stock exchanges, dropped to new lows, while large investors, also known as "whales", increased their buying pressure.

Despite these positive developments, the mood on the market remains careful. ETH derivative data show that the fundning rates are relatively steamed and there is a 1m 25d put-call option skills. In the last 24 hours there have also been $ 123.8 million of futures liquidations, with $ 73 million on short liquidations.

Technical analysis and future prospects

Technically speaking, Ethereum could encounter resistance on a descending trend line that has existed since August 24th. A breakthrough over this resistance could lead ETH towards $ 4.800. On the underside, ETH may find support for the $ 4.100 mark, whereby the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) could act as important support.

In addition, the relative strength index (RSI) shows that the value is above the neutral level, while the Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) is located in the overbought area. These indicators indicate a dominant bullish dynamic, but the overbought conditions in the Stoch could also lead to a short -term correction.

Overall, the current market for Ethereum is characterized by an exciting phase in which both technical and fundamental factors work together to influence the price movements. Investors should observe the developments carefully, especially with regard to the upcoming decisions of the Federal Reserve and the reactions of the market.