Here is what Bitmex has in 2023 for Bitcoin

Veröffentlicht:

Von:

Die Kryptowährungsbörse BitMEX skizzierte einige mögliche Szenarien, die sich in den kommenden Monaten für die Kryptowährungsbranche entwickeln könnten. Sie geht davon aus, dass die Federal Reserve ihre Zinserhöhungen höchstwahrscheinlich bis Ende des Jahres einstellen wird, was einen Mittelzufluss in die globalen Kapitalmärkte und risikoaverse Anlagen auslösen wird. Kryptowährungen wie Bitcoin und Ether könnten in solchen Fällen profitieren. Szenario 1 Laut BitMEX wird die US-Notenbank das Tempo der Zinserhöhungen höchstwahrscheinlich verlangsamen oder bis zur zweiten Hälfte des Jahres 2023 vollständig stoppen und gegen Jahresende sogar beginnen, sie zu senken. Derzeit liegt der Prozentsatz bei 4,75 %, eine Zahl, die zuletzt während …
The Bitmex cryptocurrency exchange outlined some possible scenarios that could develop for the cryptocurrency industry in the coming months. She assumes that the Federal Reserve will most likely stop its interest rate increases by the end of the year, which will trigger a medium inflow in global capital markets and risk averse systems. Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ether could benefit in such cases. According to Bitmex, the US Federal Reserve will most likely slow down the pace of interest increases or stop completely up to the second half of 2023 and even start lowering it around the end of the year. The percentage is currently 4.75 %, a number that last during ... (Symbolbild/KNAT)

The cryptocurrency exchange Bitmex outlined some possible scenarios that could develop for the cryptocurrency industry in the coming months.

It assumes that the Federal Reserve will most likely stop its interest rate increases by the end of the year, which will trigger a medium inflow in global capital markets and risk average systems. Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ether could benefit in such cases.

Scenario 1

According to Bitmex, the US Federal Reserve will most likely slow down the pace of the interest rate increases or, until the second half of 2023, and even start to lower it around the end of the year. The percentage is currently 4.75 %, a number that was last seen during the financial crash in 2008.

argued that such a change in politics could boost market recovery and increase interest in the cryptocurrency sector, since investors will probably seek a commitment in risky assets in search of higher returns.

"The pivot point, when it comes, will help to resume the money flow back to the global capital markets and trigger a rally, even with crypto-assets."

CEO Stephan Lutz believes that the central banks will have no other chance than to give up their aggressive interest rate strategy soon, otherwise politics could lead to "a further decline in real economy activity".

Most market participants assume that the Fed will raise interest rates by 0.25 % during the course of this week. Some experts, such as the "Bond King" Jeffrey Gundlach, Believe This will be the last step, while Anthony Scaramucci thinks The pivot point will come when the US inflation cools down to 4-5 %.

Scenario No. 2

Despite the classification of the opportunities, Bitmex said that there is an existing risk that the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates beyond 2023 out of fear of possible stagflation.

It is estimated that such a decision will stop the appetite of investors to different asset classes, including cryptocurrencies, and trigger a downturn in the industry:

"If there is a stagflation in 2023, this will affect the business and consumer mood and will affect the appetite of private investors and institutional investors to a number of investment classes, including crypto."

Bitmex said that such a "surprise scenario" could lead to a shock fall of the Bitcoin price up to $ 5,000, while most investors could concentrate on "safe sky that has long been established". Remember that the primary cryptocurrency after the devastating year 2022 has shown an impressive comeback and increased its evaluation to over $ 28,000 (an increase of almost 70 % since January 1).

The study showed that a possible stagflation will probably not hit the economy due to several indicators: the falling inflation in the USA and the opening of Chinese for international trade after the latest Covid-19 lock.

Scenario No. 3

Bitmex claimed that in 2023 there could be several developments that could repair the inheritance of crypto and turn it into a less risky investment class.

supported by the efforts of market and industry participants multiply legitimate applications for the industry. "

In view of the broad interest and the applications of digital assets, watchdogs could bundle their strength and create an international regulatory framework that offers investors maximum protection and at the same time enables growth and innovation.

"In addition, interest in the world of decentralized financial system will only increase if the industry with a number of strong actors with legitimate business models from the crisis is used to offer a number of relatively relatively available

The company expects numerous countries from the western world to jump on the move of cryptocurrency in one way or another. It also provides for totalitarian nations that have previously banned the use of digital assets, such as China, to continue the development of CBDCs.

This could give the Chinese a chance to be part of the digital revolution. Russia, Thailand, Hong Kong and many other nations have also expressed intentions to introduce a digitized version of their official currency.

.