market faults: Bitcoin course between stable support and uncertain financial markets in the shadow of Trump's economic policy

<P> <strong> market faults: Bitcoin course between stable support and uncertain financial markets in the shadow of Trump's economic policy </strong> </p>

Current developments in the financial markets: Bitcoin course under pressure?

The financial markets have been on a downfield for several weeks, while the Bitcoin course is in an uncertain situation. The 200-day trend has established itself as a stubborn resistance after the course fell below this value two weeks ago. At the same time, the round mark of $ 80,000 proves to be robust support for Bitcoin.

political arguments: Trump vs. Powell

A central factor that affects the markets is the divergence between the Trump government and the US Federal Reserve. The Trump administration pursues an aggressive economic policy that is characterized by rigorous customs measures and reduction in bureaucracy. In contrast, the FED is reluctant and refuses to meet Trump's demands after a rate of interest.

This politically conditioned uncertainty has negatively influenced the mood on the financial markets. Trump's unclear customs policy increases the risk of companies and investors because planning security is missing. In his last statements, the president indicated that a slight recession could be accepted in order to achieve long -term economic advantages. Many analysts suspect that Trump wants to put pressure on the Fed in order to promise interest reductions and thus achieve a stimulating effect on the economy.

Risks due to high government expenditure

Finance Minister Scott Bessent recently pointed out the risk of a possible financial crisis due to the high government spending. He described the current fiscal policy as "not sustainable", which increases the justification for Trump's rigorous course. The establishment of the Department of Government Efficiency under the direction of Elon Musk is intended to reduce positions and expenses. Nevertheless, the US budget deficit rose to over $ 1 trillion in February.

Both politicians do not exclude a recession, which contributes to uncertainty in the markets. Besser keeps the latest corrections healthy and compares it with the 2008 financial crisis to point out the risks of unbraked growth.

fed with challenges

Trump's politics puts the Federal Reserve under pressure to reduce interest rates. In the past few weeks, the returns have dropped 10-year-old US bonds, which indicates escape into secure systems. Forecasts indicate an increasing probability of a recession, which also unsettles the markets. Interest reductions are already expected for 2025, but Fed boss Jerome Powell will probably not announce interest cuts in his upcoming decision.

An important problem is that Trump's policy distorts the economic data, which makes the planning of the Fed more difficult. In contrast, falling inflation rates could be raised again by new import tariffs.

is a crisis foreseeable?

If the Trump administration should stick to its customs policy, the economy and markets could suffer further damage. In such a case, the Fed would be forced to avoid a systemic crisis. The debt crisis in the USA also requires lower interest rates to achieve long -term stability.

Ultimately, it depends on the Fed how quickly it takes measures to support the market. Current economic policy could cause short -term pain, but promote real growth in the long term. Nevertheless, the debt crisis should not be solved without monetary policy interventions.

effects on the Bitcoin course

The liquidity remains the main driver for the Bitcoin course. Although new liquidity is likely, it remains to be seen how long the Federal Reserve maintains its policy. This will have a significant impact on the duration and intensity of a possible bullrun and the correction potential of the markets. In view of the existing uncertainties, investors must adapt to further volatility.